After a sunny start, the week will end on a warmer note with increasing clouds. That will signal the arrival of the next impact by the weekend—storms.

Tonight & Tomorrow: Clear skies and relaxing winds will lead to a chilly night in the Capital Region. Expect a wake-up temperature in the low to mid-40s. Despite a morning chill, the afternoon will be quite pleasant. Look for a high in the mid to upper-70s under a sunny sky.

Up Next: The return of southerly winds on Wednesday will allow temperatures to climb higher through the rest of the workweek. By Thursday and Friday, expect highs to return to the middle-80s. A minor disturbance will bring nothing more than a spotty shower or two late Wednesday into Thursday. However, a more potent storm system will take shape closer to the weekend—that will be the next impact.

The Capital Area will be dodging spotty storms on Friday, but rain chances climb even higher on Saturday. Numerous showers and storms are likely by then, and a few storms could be on the strong to severe side. While the large-scale pattern looks supportive of stronger storms, the smaller scale features at play won’t be known until later in the week. Many times, it is these smaller features that determine the timing and severity of an event. Stay in touch with the Storm Station through the week as the forecast becomes more refined. The second half of the weekend will fare off a lot nicer with sunshine returning.

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-- Meteorologist Malcolm Byron

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